Wednesday, August 14, 2013

Predicting the Stats of Every First Round Pick

1: Anthony Bennett, Cleveland Cavaliers
Anthony Bennett has a lot of pressure on him being the first overall pick in the 2013 NBA Draft.  I think that Bennett will be an average player in his first season.  He is in a bad position because of the fact that he doesn't really know his position which I think could set back his growth because he wouldn't know really what to train for.  Bennett in his Freshman year at UNLV averaged 16.1 points per game, 8.1 rebounds per game, and 1.0 assists per game.  Because of the fact that Bennett would be a 3rd or even fourth option on this team I predict him averaging 8.1 points per game, 4.6 rebounds per game, and 0.5 assists per game.

2: Victor Oladipo, Orlando Magic
Victor Oladipo could be one of the most productive rookies this year due to his situation.  Oladipo could be the go to guy on an upcoming Orlando Magic team.  Oladipo who is known for his defensive prowess could be one of the leading scorers on this Orlando team.  Oladipo has shown a much improved jump shot in the Summer-League which is truly the key to his success.  In his Junior year at Indiana Oladipo averaged 13.6 points per game, 6.3 rebounds per game, 2.1 assists per game, and 2.2 steals per game.  I predict Oladipo's stats to be around the same, I predict him to average 13 points per game, 4.2 rebounds per game, and 2 assists per game.

3: Otto Porter Jr, Washington Wizards
  Otto Porter Jr. is one the biggest wild cards in my opinion.  I think that this was a good pick by the Wizards due to the fact that they don't have a legitimate small forward, and Porter Jr went to Georgetown so, he played on the Wizards home court during his college career.  Porter had a disappointing summer-league, but I think that his performance doesn't phase him.  Porter Jr. in his Sophomore year at Georgetown averaged 16.2 points per game, 7.5 rebounds per game, and 2.7 assists per game.  I predict that Porter Jr will average 9.8 points per game, 5.6 rebounds per game, and 1.7 assists per game.

4: Cody Zeller, Charlotte Bobcats
Even though a lot of people think that Zeller would slip further in the draft, I think that this was a good pick for the Bobcats.  The Bobcats do not have a lot of depth in terms of big men, and Zeller is not just a big man, he is a floor general.  Zeller is a member of a Bobcats squad full of potential including last years 2nd overall pick Micheal Kidd-Gilchrist, and the 9th overall pick in 2011 Kemba Walker.  During his Sophomore year at Indiana Zeller averaged 16.5 points per game, 8.1 rebounds per game, and 1.3 assists per game.  I predict that Zeller will average 13.7 points per game, 7.5 rebounds per game, and 2.1 assists per game.

5: Alex Len, Phoenix Suns
Alex Len will either be really good or really bad in my opinion.  On the bright side for the Suns I think that he will be really good.  Len is very hard to come by at 7ft 1in and 255lbs, he also has a pretty good jump shot.  Len is a player that needs to develop a lot of his game, but with the right coaching, and teammates I think he could be a star.  During his Sophomore year at Maryland Len averaged 11.9 points per game, 7.8 rebounds per game, and 2.1 blocks per game.  I predict that Len will average 7.1 points per game, 5.2 rebounds per game, and 1.2 blocks per game.

6: Nerlens Noel, Philadelphia Sixers
In my opinion Nerlens has the most potential out of any player this draft.  He is on of the best defensive players in this draft.  If he develops an offensive game he could be a steal for the Sixers.  Noel who is recovering from an ACL injury might not even play this year, so these predictions obviously might not even be applicable.  I would personally have no problem with this especially because of the fact that the Sixers are not really going anywhere this year.  In his Freshman year at Kentucky Noel averaged 10.5 points per game, 9.5 rebounds per game, and 4.4 blocks per game.  I predict that Noel will average 9.2 points per game, 8.3 rebounds per game, and 2.1 blocks per game.

7: Ben McLemore, Sacramento Kings
Ben McLemore by many peoples estimations is going to be one of the only all stars in this draft class.  McLemore is a great scorer, and that is pretty much the only thing he does.  The Kings looked guard heavy after drafting McLemore, but after trading Tyreke Evans the Kings have made room for McLemore, which I think was a very smart decision.  McLemore is an offensive spark plug that has a great motor, and should make an instant impact in Sacramento.  During his Freshman year at Kansas McLemore averaged 15.9 points per game, 5.2 rebounds per game, and 2.0 assists per game.  I predict that McLemore will average 14.3 points per game, 3.7 rebounds per game, and 1.3 assists per game. 

8: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Detroit Pistons
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope might be just the right guy to complete the Pistons puzzle.  One major problem for the Pistons is the lack of spacing which Pope can help with.  He a pure shooter, and a great scorer.  Also, his preferred play type is a pick and roll scenario which would work very well with Josh Smith.  In his Sophomore year at Georgia Caldwell-Pope averaged 18.5 points per game, 7.1 rebounds per game, and 1.8 assists per game.  I predict that if Pope gets the minutes that I expect him to he will average 10.2 points per game, 3.7 rebounds per game, and 1.2 assists per game.

 9: Trey Burke, Utah Jazz
Trey Burke by a lot of peoples estimations is a very strong rookie of the year contestant, and I agree with that Burke will immediately have a very big role with the Jazz Burke is a very clutch player with range on his jumper.  There are two concerns with Burke one is that he is undersized at only 6ft, but this is not a big problem at all.  A legitimate concern is how bad Burke was in the Summer leauge averaging only 8 points per game.  In his Sophomore year at Michigan Burke averaged 18.6 points per game, 3.2 rebounds per game, and 6.7 assists per game.  I predict he will average 12.3 points per game, 2.3 rebounds per game, and 5.4 assists per game.

 10: C.J. McCollum, Portland Trailblazers
C.J. McCollum could be one part of an explosive back court for the Trailblazers.  He and Damian Lillard could be the perfect combination of scoring and athleticism.  McCollum is a great shooter and scorer at the guard position he shot 49.5 percent from the field which is very impressive.  McCollum who had a great showing in this years summer should have a smooth transition to the NBA in my opinion.  In his senior year at Lehigh McCollum averaged 23.9 points per game, 5.0 rebounds per game, and 2.9 assists per game.  I predict that in his rookie campaign McCollum will average 15.6 points per game, 3.2 rebounds per game, and 1.6 assists per game.

11: Micheal Carter-Williams, Philadelphia Sixers
Micheal Carter-Williams will be immediately thrown into the fire in Philadelphia as he will be asked to fill into Jrue Holiday's shoes even though that is very unreasonable.  Carter-Williams is an excellent passer, and a very aggressive player.  He really needs to improve on his jump shot, and if he does I think he will be a star in the NBA.  During his rookie year at Syracuse Carter-Williams averaged 11.9 points per game, 4.9 rebounds per game, and 7.3 assists per game.  I predict that Carter-Williams will average 9.8 points per game, 3.8 rebounds per game, and 8.1 assists per game.

12: Steven Adams, Oklahoma City Thunder
Steven Adams is one of the biggest wild cards in this draft, he is a 7 footer with a nice offensive game.  Adams is also full of potential at age 20 he still has a ton of time to improve.  Even though the Thunder have Kendrick Perkins an agile big-man like Adams could help complete Kevin Durant's puzzle for a ring.  With a 7ft 4in wingspan Steven Adams has the potential to be a defensive force in this league.  In his Freshman year at Pitt Adams averaged 7.2 points per game, 6.3 rebounds per game, and 2.0 blocks per game.  I predict that because of the fact that Adams will get limited minutes that he will average 2.3 points per game, 2.1 rebounds per game, and 0.7 blocks per game.

13: Kelly Olynyk, Boston Celtics
Kelly Olynyk could very well be the biggest steal in this years draft.  He was fantastic in this years summer league, and at Gonzaga.  Olynyk is a 7 footer with a jump shot which is very hard to come by nowadays.  Also, because of the fact that the Celtics are rebuilding Olynyk should get quality minutes.  One thing to worry about is that Olynyk just was diagnosed with Plantar Facilitates which can sideline players for long amounts of time.  In his Junior year at Gonzaga Olynyk averaged 17.8 points per game, 7.3 rebounds per game, and 1.7 assists per game.  I predict that Olynyk will average 10.3 points per game, 6.4 rebounds per game, and 1.2 assists per game.

14: Shabazz Muhammad, Minnesota Timberwolves
Shabazz Muhammad is a high risk/high reward player for the Timberwolves.  He was one of the top rated prospects out of high-school, and for some time was expected to be the first overall pick in this years draft.  But, because of attitude issues, and it turned out that he was actually a year older than he said he was Muhammad's stock fell.  Muhammad is a great scorer, and that is pretty much all he does.  His main strength is how physical he is at the guard position at 6ft 6in and 225lbs.  In his Freshman year at UCLA Muhammad averaged 17.9 points per game, 5.2 rebounds per game, and 0.8 assists per game.  Because of the fact that I think Muhammad won't get playing time I predict he will average 5.6 points per game, 2.3 rebounds per game, and 0.5 assists per game.

15: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks
Giannis Antetokounmpo is full of potential, and could not even play in the NBA this year, so these stats will all be hypothetical. Antetokounmpo is a great slasher with a wiry long body, much like Kevin Durant.  He is 6ft 9in with a 7ft 3in wingspan which is very impressive and helpful for a small forward.  Antetokounmpo did play in the Nike Hoop Summit, the Draft Combine, and did not try out for his national team.  One concern is that Antetokounmpo is about 196lbs which is extremely light for any NBA player let alone a small forward.  Overseas Antetokounmpo averaged 9.5 points per game, 5.0 rebounds per game, and 1.4 assists per game.  I predict that if he plays Antetokounmpo will average 3.2 points per game, 2.7 rebounds per game, and 2.2 assists per game.  

16: Lucas Nogueira, Atlanta Hawks
Lucas Nogueira is a defensive minded 7 footer from Brazil.  He is only 220lbs so obviously he needs room to grown, and to develop.  He also has a 7ft 6in wingspan, so he can be pretty effective as a rim protector in the NBA, and has been on the radar of NBA scouts since he was 17 years old.  Nogueira is most likely going to be a building project for the Hawks meaning that he will most likely be playing in Europe for a couple of years, and then go over to the NBA.  In this years summer-league Nogueira averaged 6.4 points per game, 6.0 rebounds per game, and 2.4 blocks per game.  If Nogueira plays this year I predict he will average 1.4 points per game, 2.1 rebounds per game, and 0.7 blocks per game.

17: Dennis Schroeder, Atlanta Hawks
Dennis Schroeder could be the future star point guard of the NBA.  Schroeder has a great motor, is fast, a good passer, and an average scorer.  Schroeder is very likely to become a Rajon Rondo type of player could not get big minutes this year due to the fact that Lou Williams, and Jeff Teague are still with the team.  This could potentially be good for Schroeder because he is only 19 so this could give him time to learn and grow.  During the summer-league this year Schroeder averaged 10.8 points per game, 1.8 rebounds per game, and 5.6 assists per game.  I predict that Schroeder will average 3.2 points per game, 0.8 rebounds per game, and 2.3 assists off the bench for the Hawks this year.

18: Shane Larkin, Dallas Mavericks
Shane Larkin may be a perfect fit for the Mavericks in the future, he is a great agile young point guard.  One key concern about Larkin is his size, he is only 5ft 11in and 176lbs, but I don't think that this will be a problem going forward for Larkin because he is very skilled.  Larkin has a good handle and is very good in a pick and roll offense.  Larkin reminds me of D.J. Augustin in terms of his game, and his size.  Larkin should be a nice a role player for the Mavericks.  In his Sophomore year at Miami Larkin averaged 14.5 points per game, 3.8 rebounds per game, and 4.6 assists per game.  I predict that Larkin will average 3.2 points per game, 0.9 rebounds per game, and 2.1 assists per game.

19: Sergey Karasev, Cleveland Cavaliers 
Sergey Karasev was by a lot of peoples estimations the most NBA ready international player, and I would have to agree with them.  Karasev is one of the best pure shooters in this draft, he shot 59 percent last season which is very impressive.  Karasev is also a good passer which makes him a great player to have the offense flow through which could be very useful for any NBA team.  Also, his shooting ability creates good spacing for whatever team he is on.  One worrisome thing about Karasev is that he is only 196 pounds so he could get bullied in the paint.  Last year Karasev averaged 14.5 points per game, 4.1 rebounds per game, and 2.1 assists per game.  I predict that Karasev will average 5.2 points per game, 3.1 rebounds per game, and 1.3 assists per game.

20: Tony Snell, Chicago Bulls
Tony Snell is very much like a Kawhi Lenoard type of player, which could be a great fit for the Bulls.  The one problem is that the Bulls already have Luol Deng, Jimmy Butler, and Mike Dunleavy Jr. who are all guard/forwards like Snell is.  Snell is a good fit for a Bulls team is mostly built on their defensive skill.  Snell at 6ft 7in has a 6ft 11in wingspan which is very good for a guard.  Snell will most likely not get a lot of playing time because of the fact that Tom Thibodeau is known not to play rookies.  Snell in his Junior year at New Mexico averaged 12.5 points per game, 2.6 rebounds per game, and 2.9 assists per game.  I predict that Snell will average 2.1 points per game, 1.4 rebounds per game, and 1.1 assists per game.

21: Gorgui Dieng, Minnesota Timberwolves
Gorgui Dieng could be a big steal for the Timberwolves he is a great rim protector and at 6ft 11in isn't truly a 7 footer, but he plays like one.  Dieng has the potential to be a Serge Ibaka type player for the Wolves, if he develops his offensive game like Ibaka did.  Dieng also has a 7ft 4in wingspan which is very helpful in terms of protecting the rim. Dieng has a pretty good jump shot which makes him very intriguing player.  One thing that is worrisome is that Dieng has no real post game, and for a 7 footer that is very uncommon.  In his Junior year at Louisville Dieng averaged 9.8 points per game, 9.4 rebounds per game, 2.0 assists per game, and 2.5 blocks per game.  Nikola Pekovic has still not resigned with the team, and if he doesn't Dieng will get good playing time.  If Pekovic resigns I predict that Dieng will average 2.1 points per game, 3.5 rebounds per game, and 1.2 blocks per game.

22: Mason Plumlee, Brooklyn Nets
Mason Plumlee is a very talented big man, but he will most likely see very limited minutes this year for the Nets.  Plumlee is most likely going to be 5th option in terms of big-men, and will likely see some time in the D-League this year.  Plumlee should learn a lot from Kevin Garnett which could really help progress Plumlee's offensive game.  In his senior year at Duke Plumlee averaged 17.1 points per game, 10.0 rebounds per game, and 1.9 assists per game.  I predict that Plumlee will average 1.2 points per game, 1.1 rebounds per game, and 0.2 assists per game.

23: Solomon Hill, Indiana Pacers
Solomon Hill was one of the biggest surprises of the first round.  Even though he was the 23rd overall pick a lot of people were expecting him to be mid-early second round.  One reason that this was such a surprise is that Hill is a senior, which means that he is 23 which is older for an NBA player.  Also, Hill is pretty good at about everything, but not great at one thing which is why he will most likely be an average to below average role player.  In his Senior year at Arizona Hill averaged 13.4 points per game, 5.3 rebounds per game, and 2.7 assists per game.  I predict that Hill will average 2.2 points per game, 1.9 rebounds per game, and 1.2 assists per game.

24: Tim Hardaway Jr., New York Knicks 
Tim Hardaway Jr. should be a pretty good role player for the Knicks, I think that he will get pretty good minutes for a late first round pick.  Hardaway Jr. I think has the potential to be a J.R. Smith type player.  He is a good scorer with a nice jump shot.  He has a very high ceiling in terms of being a great scorer.  He is used to not being the first option unlike a lot of players in this draft which could be very helpful because he might get limited minutes.  In his Junior year at Michigan he averaged 14.5 points per game, 4.7 rebounds per game, and 2.4 assists per game.  I predict that Hardaway will average 5.2 points per game, 2.3 rebounds per game, and 1.2 assists per game.

25: Reggie Bullock, Los Angeles Clippers
Reggie Bullock is a very talented player that in my opinion should have gone a lot higher in the draft this year.  Bullock is a good shooter and defender, and defend multiple positions at 6ft 7in which can make him a good guard/forward.  Bullock should defiantly have a pretty big role for a 25th overall pick due to the fact that Caron Butler was traded.  Bullock also had a 6ft 9in wingspan which should be very helpful.  One concern is that bullock is only 205lbs, so he will have to gain some weight to bang with bigger 3s.  In his Junior year at UNC Bullock averaged 13.9 points per game, 6.5 rebounds per game, and 2.9 assists per game.  I predict that Bullock will average 4.2 points per game, 3.1 rebounds per game, and 2.1 assists per game.


26: Andre Roberson, Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder have taken another rebuilding project with Andre Roberson.  A lot of people were very surprised with this pick including myself.  There are a lot of worries about Roberson including the fact that he has no true position, and no real jump shot either.  But, he is a good rebounder for his size.  In his Junior year Colorado he averaged 10.9 points per game, 11.2 rebounds per game, and 1.4 assists per game.  Roberson will probably have a lot of time in the D-League, but when he is in the NBA I predict he will average 1.2 points per game, 2.3 rebounds per game, and 0.4 assists per game.

27: Rudy Gorbet, Utah Jazz
Rudy Gorbet is a medium risk high reward player for the Jazz at this point in the draft.  Gorbet really is not an offensive force, but is very good on the defensive end.  He has the largest wingspan in the NBA at 7ft 9in which is great for blocking shots.  Gorbet has the potential to be a JaVale McGee type of player.  Gorbet will probably spend some time in the D-League this year to help develop his offensive game, which should be good for him.  In the summer-league this year Gorbet averaged 5.4 points per game, 6.2 rebounds per game, and 2.4 blocks per game.  I predict that Gorbet will average 1.2 points per game, 2.3 rebounds per game, and 1.3 blocks per game.

28: Livio Jean-Charles, San Antonio Spurs
Livio Jean-Charles a prototypical pick for the Spurs because of the fact that he is international, and because of the fact that he was a sleeper.  Jean-Charles will probably not join the Spurs team for another couple of years, so I will not predict his stats because of that.  Charles is a long guard/forward who is 6ft 9in with a 7ft 2in wingspan, which could be dangerous if the develops is offensive game.

29: Archie Goodwin, Phoenix Suns
Archie Goodwin was one of the more intriguing players in this draft.  He is a pretty good scorer, very athletic but not a good point guard which is the reason that he fell so late in the draft.  Goodwin has a lot of potential as an NBA player because of the fact that he is so athletic.  Also, coming out of high-school Goodwin was projected to be a lottery pick which is why he is probably a first rounder.  In his Freshman year at Kentucky Goodwin averaged 14.1 points per game, 4.6 rebounds per game, and 2.7 assists per game.  I predict that Goodwin will average 5.7 points per game, 2.2 rebounds per game, and 2.1 assists per game.

30: Nemanja Nedovic, Golden State Warriors
Nemanja Nedovic is a very talented player who is good at a lot of things, but just can't seem to put all of his talents together to make a great player.  At 6ft 4in he has a pretty big body for a point guard which makes it easy for him to be aggressive, and able to finish at the rack.  He also has a pretty good handle which is always helpful to have on your team.  But, Nedovic might not come to the Warriors in 2013-2014 so I will not predict his stats for this year. 

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